Saturday, January 9, 2010

Forecasting and weather models



Twelve months ago we commented on the inexact science of weather forecast models. It appears the Queensland and NSW models were a fair way out again so far this summer.

BOM models indicated a drier summer for Qld but it seems the reverse has happened. Most of the major inland river systems are in various stages of flood which started around Christmas time.
The predicions are here.

The reality is here.

2 comments:

Worldwide meat news said...

A wet end to the month of January has seen continued flooding in some inland river systems as well as coastal rivers. An ex tropical cyclone has also caused flooding the gulf. In summary, another wet month for large parts of Queensland.

Worldwide meat news said...

As of March 2, most rivers in southern Qld are in flood. BOM summary for Qld summer:
A wet summer, despite a dry start to the season

* Wetter than average across most of Queensland
* Wettest summer since 2006 - 2007
* 10th wettest summer for statewide averages

Suffice to say, El Nino went missing in action.